Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Mild winter so far; snow chance and bitter cold on the way this week

Minnesota is running 6 to 15 degrees warmer than average so far this winter

It’s a very mild winter so far in Minnesota.

Two-thirds of Meteorological winter is in the books now. December was 5.6 degrees warmer than average in the Twin Cities. January temperatures were 6.5 degrees warmer than average in the Twin Cities.

It’s been even warmer compared to average in western Minnesota. parts of the Red River Valley ran 10 to 15 degrees warmer than average in January.

Temperature departure from average over the last month
Temperature departure from average over the last month
Midwest Regional Climate Center

Mild Wednesday ahead

Our mild bias continues through Wednesday. Temperatures Wednesday afternoon will challenge 40 degrees in southwest Minnesota, with 30s covering most of the state.

Forecast high temperatures Wednesday
Forecast high temperatures Wednesday
NOAA

Thursday snow chance

A low-pressure system will spin up Thursday in Colorado and track east toward Chicago. NOAA’s GFS model paints the rain to snow scenario across Minnesota Thursday.

NOAA GFS model Thursday
NOAA GFS model Thursday
NOAA via tropical tidbits

Early snowfall forecasts look light to moderate so far. A blotchy snowfall pattern seems likely to produce 2 to 4 inches across parts of Minnesota, and possibly in the Twin Cities area.

NOAA GFS snowfall output Friday
NOAA GFS snowfall output by Friday
NOAA via pivotal weather

Stay tuned for possible storm track changes. That could change snowfall forecasts this week.