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By now you've probably seen the seasonal memes. 

Yes, we may be living in the spring of deception now. We know Minnesota is not out of the woods for accumulating snow well into April lately. The last three years have brought a string of unprecedented heavy snow events.

Our daily freeze-thaw cycles continue this week. Icy mornings give way to mild afternoons.

The air mass over Minnesota continues to overperform. Temperatures shot well into the 40s again today across southern Minnesota. 

The Twin Cities nudged 48 degrees around 1 p.m. That’s a full 13 degrees warmer than the average of 35 degrees. 

High temperatures will continue to run mostly in the 30s north and 40s central and south into the weekend. Temperatures in mostly snow-free southwest Minnesota will continue to push into the lower 50s.

Sunday through Tuesday will feel more April than March. Highs will soar into the 50s across southern Minnesota with temperatures pushing 60-degrees in the west. 

The atmosphere looks plenty warm enough for rain with an inbound weather system next Tuesday and Wednesday. 

Forecast models suggest much of Minnesota could pick up rainfall totals of a quarter to a half an inch or more by late Wednesday. Here’s the European model output.

A few forecast models hint at a stronger, colder storm system late next week. It’s still too early for high or even medium confidence, but The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s GFS pains a snow producer somewhere across southern Minnesota by next Friday and Saturday, March 12-13.

Enjoy the mild week ahead. Minnesota’s spring of deception may give way to our next season called “third winter.”

Weather and Climate News

Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Paul Huttner

Author

We know Minnesota is not out of the woods for accumulating snow well into April lately. The last three years have brought a string of unprecedented heavy snow events.

Oklahoma Mesonet

NOAA

NOAA GFS model forecast map for noon Tuesday March 10

NOAA via tropical tidbits

European model (ECMWF) precipitation output

ECMWF via pivotal weather

NOAA GFS model Friday and Saturday March 12-13

40s and 50s through Tuesday. More snow possible late next week?

Go Deeper.

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