Wet March pattern erasing drought in Minnesota

Multiple weather systems easing dryness.

NOAA GFS precipitation output through Wednesday March 24
NOAA GFS precipitation output through Wednesday March 24
NOAA via pivotal weather

More of Minnesota has been edging into drought over the past few months.

The latest U.S. Drought Monitor shows about 40-percent of Minnesota is now in drought status. And all of Minnesota is at least “abnormally dry.”

U.S. Drought Monitor for Minnesota
U.S. Drought Monitor for Minnesota
USDA/UNL

As you can see on the map above moderate drought wraps around the western edges of Minnesota, across north-central Minnesota into Cook County. There are even a couple of pockets of severe drought in the western corners of Minnesota in Rock and Kittson Counties.

The rest of Minnesota, including the Twin Cities, is abnormally dry.

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Wet march pattern emerges

March is off to a wet start for the first two weeks. Last week’s rains brought .50” to over 1” to many locations in southern Minnesota, with heavy snow up north.

March 10 snowfall
March 10 snowfall
Duluth National Weather Service

This week’s snowfall dumped 3 to 12 inches of heavy moisture-laden snow from the Twin Cities southward.

March 15 snowfall totals
March 15 snowfall totals
Twin Cities National Weather Service

Another storm next week

Sunday brings more rain showers to northern Minnesota and possibly the Twin Cities by Sunday night.

Forecast models crank up another soggy weather system by next Tuesday. This one is likely to bring another shot of rain to much of Minnesota, with some snow possible up north.

Right now NOAA’s GFS model favors a slow-moving system warm enough for mostly rain across Minnesota next Tuesday into Wednesday.

NOAA GFS model forecast March 23-24
NOAA GFS model forecast March 23-24
NOAA via tropical tidbits

Forecast models suggest another 1 to 2 inches of liquid precipitation across much of Minnesota by next Thursday.

NOAA GFS precipitation output through Wednesday March 24
NOAA GFS precipitation output through Wednesday March 24
NOAA via pivotal weather

If that forecast verifies, it should take much of Minnesota out of abnormally dry conditions and reduce drought coverage in the next 10 days.

Stay tuned.