Wintry mix spreads across Minnesota

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Our next severe weather risk unfolds across southern Minnesota Monday night when a low-pressure wave moves into southern Minnesota. Conditions are favorable for thunderstorms, and a few storms could reach severe limits. 

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s 

 has issued a slight risk for severe thunderstorms across southern Minnesota, including the far southern Twin Cities area. Severe thunderstorm criteria include winds of at least 58 mph and hail 1 inch or greater in diameter.

The rest of the Twin Cities region, St. Cloud, Willmar, and Redwood Falls are in a marginal risk zone:

NOAA’s High-Resolution Rapid Refresh model is typical of short-range forecast models that show thunderstorms in southwestern Minnesota late Monday afternoon into the early evening. The most likely window for storms in the greater Twin Cities area is between 6 p.m. and 11 p.m.

Here’s another look at expected storm timing and coverage from the Twin Cities National Weather Service office. 

The most likely storm threats Monday night are damaging winds and large hail. There is a low but nonzero risk of a tornado. 

Rainfall totals should fall between one-half inch and 1 inch across most of southern Minnesota. 

 for up-to-the-minute watch and warning information and storm reports. 

Weather and Climate News

Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Paul Huttner

Author

Thunderstorms could reach severe limits Monday night. Damaging winds, large hail and an isolated tornado are possible.

Severe risk: Monday storms most likely in Twin Cities 6 p.m to 10 p.m.

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