Christmas eve warm front; snow chance emerging Sunday and Monday

Good travel weather through Christmas day. Significant snow system possible Sunday and Monday.

Forecast high temperatures Friday
Forecast high temperatures on Christmas eve.
NOAA

Here comes another out-of-season warm front for Minnesota.

Minnesota is riding the tip of another unseasonably warm late December air mass. A warm pool of temperatures in the 60s and 70s covers the southern plains as close as Kansas Thursday. Highs in the 80s are common in Texas.

Temperatures Thursday afternoon
Temperatures Thursday afternoon.
Oklahoma Mesonet

We hit 39 degrees in the Twin Cities Thursday afternoon. That’s 13 degrees warmer than our average of 26 degrees for December 23.

Christmas eve brings a mix of sun and a few clouds. Highs should push well into the 40s across southern Minnesota, with 50 degrees possible along the I-90 corridor.

Forecast high temperatures Friday
Forecast high temperatures on Christmas eve.
NOAA

Good travel weather through Christmas day

Overall travel weather looks good across Minnesota through Christmas day. A few light rain or snow showers may cross far northern Minnesota Friday. A chance of light snow visits north-central Minnesota later on Christmas day. Other than that our weather looks quiet through Saturday.

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Highs on Christmas day will be cooler, with 20s and teens across most of Minnesota.

Forecast high temperatures Saturday
Forecast high temperatures on Christmas day.
NOAA

Snow chance Sunday and Monday

Most forecast models have been in flux about a snow chance later this weekend. The latest trends suggest a potentially significant snow event Sunday and Monday favoring areas from the Twin Cities northward.

NOAA’s GFS model shows similar solutions with the Canadian and European models and develops a large area of snow covering most of Minnesota Sunday and Monday.

NOAA GFS model Sunday and Monday
NOAA GFS model Sunday and Monday.
NOAA via tropical tidbits

Very early snowfall totals suggests significantly plowable snow for most of Minnesota by Monday. Here’s the early European model output.

European model (ECMWF) snowfall output
European model (ECMWF) snowfall output through Monday.
ECMWF via pivotal weather

So have a great Christmas holiday! But keep an eye on the potential for snow on your post-Christmas travels Sunday and Monday.