Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Winter storm watch up north

Heavier snowfall north of I-94. Snowy p.m. rush hour for Twin Cities?

Forecast snowfall totals
Forecast snowfall totals.
Twin Cities National Weather Service

Here comes the next clipper.

Snow begins in northwestern Minnesota Thursday morning. By early afternoon, flakes will be flying above parts of the North Shore. The snowfall sails southeast through Minnesota Thursday.

Snow crystal stellar dendrite
A stellar dendrite. Image courtesy of snowcrystals.com
Huttner, Paul

The Twin Cities will see some spotty mixed rain and snow showers Thursday, but could get a shot of more vigorous sloppy snowfall just in time for afternoon rush hours. Naturally.

The worst travel impacts will be across northern Minnesota. Let’s break down the warnings, advisories and likely snowfall totals and impacts Thursday.

Winter storm watch

A winter storm watch is posted for parts of the North Shore around Grand Marais, Minn., for Thursday. This area likely sees the heaviest snowfall totals Thursday.

Southern Cook- Including the city of Grand Marais

343 PM CST Wed Feb 9 2022

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Southern Cook County. This includes the Tribal Lands of the Grand Portage Reservation.

* WHEN...From Thursday afternoon through Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

Storm track and snowfall timing

NOAA’s NAM 3 km resolution forecast model tracks snow into northwest Minnesota Thursday morning, then pushes the snow shield south and east through the day. Under this scenario, the Twin Cities will see a mix of rain and snow showers, with a possible snowy burst around afternoon rush hours.

The loop below runs between 6 a.m. Thursday and 6 a.m. Friday.

NOAA NAM 3 km model
NOAA NAM 3 km model between 6 am Thursday and 6 am Friday.
NOAA via tropical tidbits

Snowfall totals

Overall snowfall totals still favor a range of 3 to 6 inches across much of northeast Minnesota. Lake-enhanced snowfall could boost totals over 6 inches again along the Sawtooth Mountains above the North Shore of Lake Superior.

Snowfall projection for northeast Minnesota
Snowfall projection for northeast Minnesota.
Duluth National Weather Service

The Twin Cities likely picks up a coating to around an inch or so. Temperatures will hover near the freezing mark late Thursday, so it could be a sloppy mix for the Twin Cities on roads.

Forecast snowfall totals
Forecast snowfall totals.
Twin Cities National Weather Service

Arctic air Friday

A shot of arctic air blows in Friday and Saturday. Lows Saturday morning will dip slightly below zero in the Twin Cities and southern Minnesota. Lows up north will be in the 20s to 30s below zero.

Forecast low temperatures Saturday morning
Forecast low temperatures Saturday morning.
NOAA

Highs Saturday will be mostly in the single digits above zero.

Forecast high temperatures Saturday
Forecast high temperatures Saturday.
NOAA