Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Big weekly variations in rainfall for Minnesota crops

Some heavy rainfall in southern Minnesota is helping crops. But dry pockets emerging.

Seven day observed precipitation
Seven day observed precipitation.
NOAA

It’s like rainfall bingo for Minnesota farmers.

Summer rainfall totals are typically localized. That has been true over the past week as many farmers in our state look for much-needed rainfall this time of year.

Take a look at the seven-day observed rainfall map above. You can see how southern Minnesota has picked up significant rainfall in the past week. Two to more than five inches fell across areas basically from near Mankato southward into northern Iowa. Areas in the southwest Twin Cities picked up one to two inches of rain in the past week.

But further northward, rainfall has been tougher to come by in parts of central and northern Minnesota. Rainfall totals of less than an inch are common in many areas in the past week.

Crop conditions vary

Monday’s Minnesota Crop Report shows a mixed bag of conditions across Minnesota.

Overall 64 percent of Minnesota corn crop is rated good (54 percent) or excellent (12 percent). But 29 percent of corn is rated in just fair condition. Many counties need more rainfall in the next week to help keep crops healthy.

Here’s more detail from this week’s report.

Topsoil moisture supplies were rated 3 percent very short, 12 percent short, 75 percent adequate, and 10 percent surplus. Subsoil moisture supplies were rated 2 percent very short, 11 percent short, 78 percent adequate, and 9 percent surplus.

Corn condition was 1 percent very poor, 4 percent poor, 29 percent fair, 54 percent good, and 12 percent excellent. Soybean blooming was at 22 percent, 10 days behind last year and 5 days behind the 5-year average. Soybean condition was 1 percent very poor, 3 percent poor, 33 percent fair, 53 percent good, and 10 percent excellent.

Looking for rain

With the forecast for increasing heat next week, any rainfall we can get will be critical for many farmers. The best chances for significant rainfall appear to arrive Friday and Saturday. The European model suggests that eastern Minnesota could pick up an inch or more of rain in the next seven days. But little or no rain may fall in much of western Minnesota.

European model (ECMWF) rainfall forecast
European model (ECMWF) rainfall forecast through next Monday.
ECMWF via pivotal weather

NOAA’s eight to 14-day outlook suggests drier than average weather through the next two weeks.

NOAA 8 to 14-day precipitation outlook
NOAA 8 to 14-day precipitation outlook.
NOAA

Keep in mind that localized thunderstorms can dump inches of rain in one location, with little or no rain not far away. Let’s hope enough rain falls in the next two weeks to keep crops in good condition across most of Minnesota.

Stay tuned.