Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Tracking spotty thunderstorm chances Wednesday and this weekend

A few scattered storms could pop up Wednesday and again next weekend.

Probability of precipitation
Probability of precipitation for Falcon Heights, Minnesota.
NOAA

We’re tracking forecast models, satellites, and radars for our next rain chances around Minnesota.

A few scattered showers and thunderstorms are roaming northern Minnesota through the overnight hours.

The scattered rains are driven by a weak low-pressure system that will cross Minnesota Wednesday. NOAA’s WRF model picks up on the notion of scattered thundershowers in northern Minnesota early Wednesday, and additional cells developing across central and southern Minnesota Wednesday afternoon. The 12-hour forecast loop below runs between 7 a.m. and 7 p.m. Wednesday.

NOAA WRF model
NOAA WRF model between 7 am and 7 pm Wednesday.
NOAA via tropical tidbits

High temperatures will once again run mostly in the lower 80s across most of Minnesota Wednesday.

Forecast high temperatures Wednesday
Forecast high temperatures Wednesday.
NOAA

State Fair weather

The opening days of the 2022 Minnesota State Fair look pretty typical. Expect a mix of sun and clouds, warm temperatures and a few scattered showers and thunderstorms possible during the opening weekend.

Right now, the most likely chance for rainfall appears to favor late Saturday into Sunday.

We don’t take model output placement for localized summer rain literally this far out, but NOAA’s GFS model gives you the idea of spotty rain and thunder between 7 p.m. Friday and 7 p.m. Saturday.

NOAA GFS model Saturday
NOAA GFS model 7pm Friday to 7 pm Saturday.
NOAA via tropical tidbits

Highs this weekend will be in the 80s again across most of Minnesota.

Forecast high temperatures Sunday
Forecast high temperatures Sunday.
NOAA

Humidity will creep up with dew points rising well into the 60s this weekend.