Winter storm warnings in northern Minnesota

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Tuesday’s temperature map is more typical for late August. The average high for Oct. 11 in the Twin Cities is 60 degrees. We’ll be closer to 80 degrees Tuesday afternoon.

In the Twin Cities, 80 is the average high temperature between Aug. 19 and Aug. 23. 

Enjoy our one-hit-wonder summer flirtation. 

A more typical October cold front sweeps through Minnesota Tuesday night. Short-range forecast models suggest a few thunderstorms will develop along the frontal zone. The latest model runs have pushed the timing back a little later Tuesday evening.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s NAM 3 km model is typical of forecast solutions that develop a narrow line of thunderstorms just west of the Twin Cities between about 9 p.m and 10 p.m.. 

If that timing works out, we could see thunderstorms sweep into the greater Twin Cities area between about 10 p.m. and midnight as the front blows through. 

The risk for severe weather with the Tuesday night storms is pretty low, but not zero. A few cells could produce hail around 1 inch in diameter, and wind gusts that push the severe threshold of around 60 mph.

 paints a marginal risk zone for eastern Minnesota and most of Wisconsin:

Enjoy our summerlike day and evening. But keep an eye out for possible strong to severe storms later this evening. 

Weather and Climate News

Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Paul Huttner

Author

A summery Tuesday gives way to much colder air this week.

Summer flashback Tuesday afternoon, storm chances Tuesday night

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