Late summerlike November warmth smashes records; big changes ahead

Record high and overnight low temperatures through tonight

Temperatures Wednesday afternoon
Temperatures Wednesday afternoon.
Oklahoma Mesonet

Wednesday’s weather across Minnesota is perfectly average. For Labor Day weekend.

Temperatures at or above 70 degrees push all the way north to the Canadian border Wednesday. (See the image above.) The record warm air mass is toppling dozens of high and low-temperature records across our region.

In the Twin Cities, we’ve already smashed the previous Nov. 2 high-temperature record of 72 degrees set in 1978 as of this post.

For perspective, the average high temperature in the Twin Cities on Nov. 2 is 49 degrees. So Wednesday is running a good 25 degrees warmer than average across Minnesota.

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We’ll also likely set a record warm overnight minimum temperatures for Thursday morning. The record warm minimum is 59 degrees set in 1956.

We’ll likely bottom out somewhere near 59 degrees in the Twin Cities tonight. That’s 20 degrees above our average high temperature for this time of year!

Forecast low temperatures Thursday morning
Forecast low temperatures Thursday morning
NOAA

Warm again Thursday

Thursday brings another day of near-record warmth to eastern Minnesota. Highs will top out in the 70s again. The record high for the Twin Cities on Nov. 3 is 75 degrees set in 2020.

Forecast high temperatures Thursday
Forecast high temperatures Thursday
NOAA

Rain chances shifting southeast

Our next chance for rain arrives Thursday night through Saturday, but the system is trending southeast. That puts the Twin Cities on the drier western edge of the storm.

Canadian model Saturday
Canadian model Friday and Saturday
Environment Canada, via Tropical Tidbits

But heavy, meaningful rains are likely in southeastern Minnesota and Wisconsin.

European model (ECMWF) precipitation output
European model precipitation output through Saturday
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via Pivotal Weather

There are signs of more possible rain, and snow, next week.

Stay tuned.