Feels like January today; temps recover Sunday afternoon

A look at snow chances

Yes, this feels more like January than November.

Our average Twin Cities high temperature is 40 degrees on Nov. 19. Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport reported a temp of 23 degrees at 1 a.m. today, and temps have now fallen into the teens. We’ll probably see a Twin Cities daytime high in the upper teens to around 20.

Much of Minnesota and northwestern Wisconsin will have Saturday daytime highs in the teens, with some lower 20s possible in southeastern Minnesota and parts of west-central Wisconsin.

Northwesterly winds of 18 to 28 mph are expected, with gusts of 30 to 35 mph at times. Some blowing snow is possible in open areas today. Wind chill temps will be below zero all day. 

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Temperature trends

Sunday highs will be well into the 20s in most locations, with 30s in southwestern Minnesota:

Sunday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Sunday afternoon wind gusts are expected to be in the 15 to 20 mph range:

Sunday noon forecast wind gusts
National Weather Service

Forecast gusts are in knots, with 14 knots equal to 16.1 mph.

Sunday afternoon wind chill temps (which are based on sustained winds, not wind gusts) will be mainly in the teens above zero:

Sunday noon forecast wind chills
National Weather Service

Back to high temps, Twin Cities metro area highs are projected to be in the upper 20s on Monday, followed by lower 30s Tuesday and mid 30s Wednesday, then lower 30s again on Thursday and Friday.

Snow chances?

Eastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin could see scattered light snow showers linger into early Saturday afternoon, followed by a flurry chance.

Areas of snow will continue in eastern Wisconsin into Saturday night. Parts of north-central Wisconsin and the upper peninsula of Michigan will have heavier lake-effect snow this Saturday and Saturday night. Here are forecast snow amounts plus wind chill forecasts:

Saturday/Saturday night snow forecast
National Weather Service

A batch of light snow could move into northwestern Minnesota Saturday evening, then spread across the remainder of northern Minnesota and parts of northwestern Wisconsin overnight Saturday night. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale (NAM) forecast model shows the potential precipitation pattern from 5 p.m. Saturday to noon on Sunday:

Simulated radar from 5 p.m. Saturday to noon on Sunday
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

A few stray flurries are possible overnight to the south of the main snow band.

We have updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the Minnesota Public Radio News network, and on the MPR News live weather blog.

New York snow update

Lake-effect snows continue today in western New York. The storm total at Orchard Park, which is southeast of Buffalo, now stands at 77 inches!

A new 24-hour New York state snowfall record was set in Orchard Park yesterday:

The official storm total at the Buffalo NWS office stood at 30.2 inches this morning:

Updated New York state snow totals can be found here. Updates on the snow are posted by the Buffalo NWS office.

Weather nugget

It’s cold today, but it has been colder. The coldest Nov. 19 high temp in Twin Cities records was 13 degrees, way back in 1894.