Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Weekend weather: Cold! Subzero wind chills as frigid air settles in

Thursday night snow could slow Friday morning commutes

Our January has been much warmer than normal so far.

At Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport, the average temp is running 7.5 degrees warmer than normal this January. Twenty-two out of 25 days have been warmer than normal in the Twin Cities this January.

Our temps are chilly Thursday, but they will rebound briefly on Friday before turning sharply colder this weekend. Next week looks chilly as well.

Weekend temps and wind chills

Saturday morning low temps will range from teens below zero in northwestern Minnesota to single digits above zero in the Twin Cities and southern Minnesota:

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Saturday morning forecast lows
National Weather Service

Saturday will be breezy, with afternoon wind chills ranging from 20s below zero in northwestern Minnesota to single digits below zero southeast:

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Saturday noon forecast wind chill temps
National Weather Service

Saturday highs will be below zero to the northwest and in the single digits and lower teens above zero to the southeast:

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Saturday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Twin Cities Saturday highs, around 10 degrees, will be 14 degrees below our average Jan. 28 high temperature.

Low temps Sunday morning will range from 20s below zero in the far north to single digits below zero in the metro area and southeastern Minnesota:

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Sunday morning forecast lows
National Weather Service

Sunday afternoon wind chill temps will be in the teens and 20s below zero:

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Sunday noon forecast wind chill temps
National Weather Service

Sunday high temps will be in the single digits below zero in northern and western Minnesota, with single digits above zero elsewhere:

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Sunday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Snow chances south on Saturday

A low-pressure system will bring snow to Iowa, far southern Minnesota and the southern half of Wisconsin on Saturday.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale (NAM) forecast model shows the potential snow pattern from 3 a.m. Saturday to 5 p.m. Saturday:

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Simulated radar from 3 a.m. Saturday to 5 p.m. Saturday
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

Some forecast models keep the Saturday snow just south of the Twin Cities metro area. Sunday looks dry in Minnesota and western Wisconsin.

Friday morning commute may be slow

A low-pressure system is expected to spread snow into eastern North Dakota Thursday afternoon and into northwestern Minnesota early Thursday evening.

The snow may arrive in the Twin Cities metro area late this evening, with periods of snow overnight, ending early Friday. NOAA’s NAM forecast model shows the potential snow pattern from 5 p.m. this Thursday to noon on Friday:

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Simulated radar from 5 p.m. Thursday to noon Friday
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

Many areas are expected to see around 1 inch of snow from Thursday evening into Friday morning:

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Snow forecast Thursday evening into Friday morning
National Weather Service

There will be some 1 to 2 inch amounts to the north. Here’s the National Weather Service snow forecast for eastern North Dakota and northwestern Minnesota:

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Snow forecast Thursday afternoon/evening into Friday morning
National Weather Service

A winter weather advisory for snow and blowing snow starts at at 3 p.m. Thursday in eastern North Dakota and 6 p.m. in northwestern Minnesota:

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Winter weather advisory (blue) Thursday evening through Friday morning
National Weather Service

Here are details of the Minnesota portion of the advisory:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 359 AM CST Thu Jan 26 2023 MNZ002-003-005-008-013>015-022-027-029-030-040-NDZ053-271800- /O.NEW.KFGF.WW.Y.0004.230127T0000Z-230127T1800Z/ Norman-Clay-Roseau-East Marshall-Pennington-Red Lake-East Polk- Mahnomen-West Becker-Wilkin-West Otter Tail-Grant-Richland- Including the cities of Ada, Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Newfolden, Middle River, Grygla, Thief River Falls, Red Lake Falls, Fosston, Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, Detroit Lakes, Breckenridge, Fergus Falls, Elbow Lake, Hoffman, Ashby, Herman, Barrett, and Wahpeton 359 AM CST Thu Jan 26 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow will move in early this evening. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches. After midnight winds will turn northwest with gusts 40 to 50 mph possible through Friday morning. * WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and southeast North Dakota. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to noon CST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state.


You can find updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the Minnesota Public Radio News network, and on the MPR News live weather blog.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:39 p.m. Saturday and Sunday.