Arctic cold will hang with us Sunday and Monday; Update on wind chill advisories/warnings

This is very cold, even by January standards.

Saturday highs were below zero in much of west-central and northwestern Minnesota, and highs were mainly in the single digits above zero across the remainder of Minnesota plus western Wisconsin. For perspective, our average Twin Cities high temperature is 24 degrees this time of year.

Arctic cold will be stay entrenched over us Saturday night and Sunday into Monday.

Temps and wind chills

Low temps late Saturday night into early Sunday will range from 20s below zero in far northern Minnesota to single digits below zero in the Twin Cities metro area and southern Minnesota:

Sunday highs will be below zero in northern Minnesota and a few degrees above zero to the south:

With a high pressure system to the west, we’ll have northwesterly breezes on Sunday. It’ll be a dry day in most areas.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale (NAM) forecast model shows the potential pressure pattern and precipitation pattern from 6 a.m. Sunday to 10 p.m. Sunday:

Wind chill advisories/warnings

Wind chill advisories cover much of Minnesota Saturday evening through Sunday morning, with a wind chill warning in northwestern Minnesota Saturday evening through Monday morning:

The dark blue-shaded counties of far southeastern Minnesota are in a winter weather advisory for snow Saturday evening.

The wind chill advisory in the Twin Cities metro area starts at midnight Saturday night and continues until 11 a.m. Sunday:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 134 PM CST Sat Jan 28 2023 MNZ043>045-050>053-059>063-066>070-074>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014- 015-023>025-290345- /O.NEW.KMPX.WC.Y.0001.230129T0600Z-230129T1700Z/ Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago- Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-McLeod-Sibley-Carver- Scott-Dakota-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan- Blue Earth-Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron- St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn- Including the cities of Little Falls, Princeton, Mora, Sauk Rapids, Elk River, Cambridge, Center City, Monticello, Minneapolis, Blaine, St Paul, Stillwater, Hutchinson, Gaylord, Chanhassen, Chaska, Victoria, Shakopee, Hastings, New Ulm, St Peter, Le Sueur, Faribault, Red Wing, St James, Mankato, Waseca, Owatonna, Fairmont, Blue Earth, Albert Lea, Osceola, Rice Lake, Hudson, River Falls, and Menomonie 134 PM CST Sat Jan 28 2023 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM CST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. Wind chill values as low as 20 degrees below and 30 degrees below zero. * WHERE...Portions of central, east central, south central and southeast Minnesota and northwest and west central Wisconsin. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 11 AM CST Sunday. * IMPACTS...The cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves.

Here are details of the wind chill warning in northwestern Minnesota and eastern North Dakota:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 150 PM CST Sat Jan 28 2023 MNZ001-004>009-013-014-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-038-054- 301800- /O.UPG.KFGF.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-230128T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KFGF.WC.W.0001.230128T1950Z-230130T1800Z/ West Polk-Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods-West Marshall- East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-Red Lake-Towner-Cavalier- Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-Grand Forks- Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Western Walsh- Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Baudette, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Newfolden, Middle River, Grygla, Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, Thief River Falls, Red Lake Falls, Cando, Langdon, Cavalier, Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Fort Totten, Maddock, Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, Grafton, Park River, New Rockford, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, Grand Forks, Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton, Portland, Valley City, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin 150 PM CST Sat Jan 28 2023 ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY... * WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 50 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of north central and northwest Minnesota and northeast and southeast North Dakota. * WHEN...Until noon CST Monday. * IMPACTS...The dangerously cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Avoid outside activities if possible. If outside, make sure you wear appropriate winter clothing.

Here are details of the wind chill advisory in northeastern Minnesota:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Duluth MN 211 PM CST Sat Jan 28 2023 MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033-290815- /O.NEW.KDLH.WC.Y.0002.230129T0200Z-230129T1900Z/ Koochiching-North St. Louis-Northern Cook and Lake-North Itasca- Central St. Louis-Southern Lake-Southern Cook-North Cass- South Itasca-South Cass- Including the cities of International Falls, Ely, Isabella, Bigfork, Hibbing, Two Harbors, Silver Bay, Grand Marais, Walker, Grand Rapids, and Pine River 211 PM CST Sat Jan 28 2023 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 35 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of north central and northeast Minnesota. * WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 1 PM CST Sunday. * IMPACTS...The dangerously cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 10 minutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Wind chills may reach as low as 40 below zero for an hour or two early Sunday morning, especially along the International Border. A Wind Chill Warning will likely be needed late Sunday into Monday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves.

You can find updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the Minnesota Public Radio News network, and on the MPR News live weather blog.

Here’s a sampling of forecast wind chill temperatures over the next few days:

This is a good time for a reminder about pet safety during cold weather:

Temperature trends

Twin Cities metro area highs are projected to be around 2 above zero on Monday, then around 11 degrees on Tuesday followed by mid teens Wednesday and Thursday and upper teens on Friday.

Weather nugget

Our Twin Cities average daily temperature (the average of the high temp and low temp) was above normal on 23 of the first 27 days this January.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:39 p.m. Saturday and Sunday.