Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Rain, thunder, snow for swaths of Minnesota Wednesday through Friday

Most of the snow should stay north of the Twin Cities this time

It was a nice Tuesday across our region! We topped out in the mid-50s in the Twin Cities Tuesday. Our average high and low are now 58 and 39 degrees.

But here comes the next weather system.

Rain early Wednesday

Rain and thunderstorms will blossom overnight across southwestern Minnesota, with the first wave rolling around midnight. Rain and embedded thunder likely arrive in the greater Twin Cities area from around 4 a.m. through 8 a.m. Wednesday.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s High-Resolution Rapid Refresh model shows the initial wave of rain and thunder moving from southwestern Minnesota around midnight into the Twin Cities early Wednesday morning.

Note the mixed ice and snow band moving through central Minnesota early Wednesday.

A second wave of rain and thunder likely develops from about the Twin Cities southward late Wednesday afternoon and evening. The High-Resolution Rapid Refresh loop below runs between 1 a.m. Wednesday and midnight Thursday.

NOAA HRRR model 2
High-Resolution Rapid Refresh model between 1 a.m. Wednesday and midnight Thursday
NOAA, via Tropical Tidbits

Another soaker

Several rivers are in major flood stage around our region. We don’t need another shot of heavy precipitation, but that looks like what we’ll see. Another inch or two of precipitation is likely across most of Minnesota this week.

Here’s the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model precipitation output through 1 p.m. Friday:

European model (ECMWF) precipitation output
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts precipitation output through 1 p.m. Friday
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via Pivotal Weather

Snow up north

This next system looks warm enough for mostly rain in the Twin Cities and southern Minnesota. But it will be cold enough for snow again up north.

Don’t take these totals literally yet, but the Canadian model below gives you the idea of another plowable snowfall event up north Thursday and Friday.

Canadian model snowfall output
Canadian model snowfall output by 1 p.m. Friday
Environment Canada, via Pivotal Weather

Highs Wednesday and Thursday will make the lower 50s across southern Minnesota. It will be noticeably colder up north.

Forecast high temperatures Thursday
Forecast high temperatures Thursday
NOAA

Hang in there.