Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Strong thunderstorms possible late Friday afternoon into evening; Rain on Sunday

Saturday looks nice

If you have outdoor plans Friday afternoon into Friday evening, stay weather-aware.

Northwestern Minnesota was already seeing areas of rain with a few embedded thunderstorms at midday. Thunderstorm coverage is expected to expand into more of Minnesota and also into parts of western Wisconsin as we go through the afternoon and evening hours. Some severe weather will be possible, especially late Friday afternoon into Friday evening.

The Storm Prediction Center of the National Weather Service shows a slight risk (shaded yellow, level 2 out of 5) of severe weather Friday afternoon into Friday night in portions of Minnesota and Wisconsin:

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Severe weather outlook Friday afternoon into Friday night
NWS Storm Prediction Center

Slight risk means that scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible in the darker-green shaded areas.

Here are the severe weather risk categories that are used by the Storm Prediction Center:

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Severe weather risk categories
NWS Storm Prediction Center

You can hear updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the MPR News network. Also check out the MPR News display of National Weather Service radar.

You can check these National Weather Service sites for updated weather info: Twin CitiesDuluthLa Crosse, Wis., Sioux Falls, S.D., and Grand Forks, N.D.

Dry Saturday, rain returns Sunday

Far northern Minnesota could see some scattered showers on Saturday, but it should be a dry day for most of Minnesota and western Wisconsin.

Periods of rain are likely in Minnesota and western Wisconsin on Sunday, with some embedded thunderstorms at times.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale (NAM) forecast model shows the potential rain pattern from 4 a.m. Sunday to 7 p.m. Sunday:

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NAM simulated radar from 4 a.m. Sunday to 7 p.m. Sunday
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

NOAA’s Finite Volume Cubed Sphere (FV3) forecast model shows a somewhat different rain pattern for that same time period:

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FV3 simulated radar from 4 a.m. Sunday to 7 p.m. Sunday
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

Weekend temperatures

The average Twin Cities high temperature is 81 degrees on Aug. 12. Metro area highs are forecast to reach the lower 80s this Saturday.

Saturday highs will be in the 80s across roughly the southern half of Minnesota, with mainly 70s to the north:

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Saturday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Portions of northeastern Minnesota could see highs in the 60s.

Sunday highs will be in the 60s in much of the northern half of Minnesota, with 70s elsewhere:

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Sunday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:39 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.