Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

A breezy Sunday; highest rain chances in northern Minnesota

Some spots in southern Minnesota will reach the 60s

Temps will be warmer today, but winds will be gusty by afternoon.

The average Twin Cities high temperature is 47 degrees on Nov. 5. Sunday afternoon highs are expected to reach the upper 50s in the Twin Cities metro area.

Sunday highs will be in the 40s for most of the northern half of Minnesota, with mainly 50s for the rest of Minnesota plus western Wisconsin. Parts of southwestern Minnesota and south-central Minnesota will reach the 60s:

rt1105h21
Sunday forecast highs
National Weather Service

An approaching low pressure system will bring wind gusts over 20 mph to central and southern Minnesota Sunday afternoon and evening:

rt1105g21
Sunday 3 p.m. forecast wind gusts
National Weather Service

Southwestern Minnesota will see gusts over 30 mph at times.

Freezing rain chance northwestern Minnesota

Light freezing rain will affect portions of far northwestern Minnesota and northeastern North Dakota Sunday morning. A winter weather advisory continues in the blue-shaded counties until noon Sunday:

rt1105adv2
Winter weather advisory (blue) until noon Sunday
National Weather Service

Here are details of the advisory:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 218 AM CST Sun Nov 5 2023 MNZ004>008-NDZ006>008-015-016-054-051800- /O.NEW.KFGF.WW.Y.0029.231105T0900Z-231105T1800Z/ Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods-West Marshall-East Marshall- Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh-Western Walsh- Including the cities of Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Baudette, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Newfolden, Middle River, Grygla, Cando, Langdon, Cavalier, Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Devils Lake, Grafton, Park River, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin 218 AM CST Sun Nov 5 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... * WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of a light glaze. * WHERE...Portions of north central and northwest Minnesota and northeast North Dakota. * WHEN...Until noon CST today. * IMPACTS...Very slippery sidewalks, roads and bridges are possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Prepare for possible power outages. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at travel.dot.nd.gov and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state.

Rain chances

An upper level disturbance is headed our way. It’ll combine with the approaching low pressure system to spread rain across much of the northern half of Minnesota and northwestern Wisconsin Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening. Parts of far northern Minnesota could see a rain/snow mix this morning and later tonight.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Finite Volume Cubed Sphere (FV3) forecast model shows the potential precipitation pattern from noon Sunday to 11 p.m. Sunday:

rt1105rad
FV3 simulated radar from noon Sunday to 11 p.m. Sunday
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

NOAA’s North American Mesoscale model shows a similar precipitation pattern:

rt1105rad2
NAM simulated radar from noon Sunday to 11 p.m. Sunday
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

A few spots in the southern half of Minnesota and west-central Wisconsin could see a brief sprinkle Sunday afternoon, followed by a chance of rain showers Sunday evening.

You can hear updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the MPR News network. Also check out the MPR News display of National Weather Service radar.

I should note that much of what you see on radar this morning is not reaching the ground.

Update

A new Updraft will be posted around 10:40 this morning. It will include a look at the week ahead.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:39 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.