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There are signs this could be a hotter-than-normal summer across Minnesota. 

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration outlooks favor warmer-than-normal temperatures this meteorological summer (June, July, August) across most of the United States and North America. 

NOAA’s official temperature outlook for summer shows the highest probability of warmer-than-normal temperatures across the western and northeastern U.S. 

The precipitation outlook for summer slightly favors drier-than-normal weather across our region. 

This week’s deluge in spring followed by a transition to a drier-than-normal summer would fit with weather patterns the past three years across Minnesota. We’ve seen an abrupt shift from soggy spring to parched summer conditions the last few years.

The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model for summer 2025 also favors warmer-than-normal temperatures across most of the U.S.

Keep in mind the Twin Cities averages around 13 days of 90-degree heat in a given warm season. We’ve already hit 90 once at Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport. I have a hunch we may pass 20 days of 90-degree heat across much of Minnesota this summer. 

Hopefully we won’t see that number spike up into the 30s or come anywhere close to the record of 44 days set in the torrid summer of 1988.

And remember, it’s always cooler by the big lake up north.

Weather and Climate News

Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Paul Huttner

Author

NOAA outlooks favor warmer than normal temperatures this summer across much of the U.S. including Minnesota.

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

NOAA temperature outlook for summer 2025 2

NOAA

NOAA precipitation outlook for summer 2025

Hotter-than-normal summer ahead for Minnesota?

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