Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Smoke storm: Highest smoke level ever recorded for Minnesota

Grand Portage set a record for highest wildfire smoke air quality index

Smoke, haze and rain obscure the view of the Minnesota Capitol
Smoke, haze and rain obscure the view of the Minnesota Capitol from downtown St. Paul on Tuesday.
Andrew Krueger | MPR News

May you live in interesting times.

Tuesday’s smoke front produced the highest air quality index reading for wildfire smoke on record in the state of Minnesota.

I checked with meteorologists at the Minnesota Pollution Control Agency and they told me Tuesday that the air quality index in Grand Portage at the state’s northeastern tip hit 800 at 2 a.m. Tuesday. That breaks the previous smoke-induced record of 692 in St. Cloud on July 29, 2021.

The AQI of 274 in Blaine Tuesday morning was very high, but not the highest on record for the Twin Cities.

Here’s some of my communication with David Brown at MPCA:

Hi Paul,

The highest hourly PM2.5 concentration measured today in the Twin Cities was 199 ug/m^3 (274 AQI), recorded at the Blaine monitor at 6 AM.

The highest recorded hourly concentration in Minnesota is 657 ug/m^3 on 7/4/2020 in Minneapolis. This was the result of smoke from fireworks in the late evening hours. This was the first Independence Day during the COVID19 pandemic when municipal fireworks displays were cancelled and personal fireworks usage was very high. This combined with poor dispersion that evening due to light winds produced some very high fine particle concentrations.

The highest hourly concentration recorded in Minnesota due to wildfire smoke was 422 ug/m^3 (692 AQI) on 7/29/2021 in St. Cloud, and for the Twin Cities was 353 ug/m^3 (555 AQI) recorded on 5/7/2016.

The highest daily-average PM2.5 concentration recorded in the Twin Cities was 111 ug/m^3 (190 AQI) on 6/14/2023.

With air quality expected to steadily improve for the Twin Cities during the rest of the day I think we’ll fall a little short of the daily record. My back-of-the-envelope calculation puts today’s highest daily concentration for the Twin Cities between 95-105 ug/m^3.

As an aside, the Grand Portage monitor in northeast Minnesota recorded an hourly concentration of 476 ug/m^3 at 2 AM this morning, which is the highest recorded hourly concentration in Minnesota due to wildfire smoke. That would be an AQI of 800. It would be the 2nd highest all-time hourly concentration in all of Minnesota if you include the July 4th, 2020 fireworks smoke event, but highest all-time statewide for wildfire smoke (or any other event type for that matter).

Thanks, David

David Brown

Risk Evaluation & Air Modeling Unit

Minnesota Pollution Control Agency

Our air quality improves dramatically Wednesday and Thursday the smoke plume pushes east of Minnesota.

NOAA HRRR smoke output
High-Resolution Rapid Refresh model smoke output between 4 p.m. Tuesday and 6 a.m. Wednesday
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via Pivotal Weather

Good to moderate air quality will favor more of Minnesota Wednesday.

Air quality forecast
Air quality forecast Wednesday
Minnesota Pollution Control Agency

Milder through the weekend

Wednesday’s blue skies and milder temperatures will be a welcome sight.

Forecast high temperatures Wednesday
Forecast high temperatures Wednesday
NOAA

Temperatures will run in the 70s through the upcoming weekend. Slight rain chances favor Thursday and Saturday nights. There are hints of more wildfire smoke by around Sunday.

Stay tuned.