Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Super-sized February thaw ahead: 50 degrees possible by Saturday

Pacific breeze blows in temps 20 degrees warmer than normal; near-record highs possible for Valentine's Day

NOAA 6 to 10-day temperature outlook
Six to 10-day temperature outlook
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Warm hearts and near-record warm temperatures?

That looks like the recipe for Valentine’s Day 2026 in Minnesota. An unseasonably mild air mass blows into Minnesota from the Pacific Ocean over the next week.

The warmup begins Wednesday and Thursday with plenty of sunshine, less wind and temperatures pushing into the 40s again in southern Minnesota, including the Twin Cities.

Forecast high temperatures Thursday
Forecast high temperatures Thursday
NOAA

Our warmup builds as the weekend approaches. By Friday afternoon, highs in the 50s will be common in the far south. It appears our thaw will peak between Valentine’s Day and next Monday. High temperatures should reach close to 50 degrees in the Twin Cities Saturday.

Forecast high temperatures Saturday
Forecast high temperatures Saturday
NOAA

The record high for Saturday in the Twin Cities is also 50 degrees, set way back in 1882.

Sunday and Monday look warm as well. Highs in the 50s again Monday afternoon looks likely nearly a week out.

Forecast high temperatures Monday
Forecast high temperatures Monday
NOAA

More winter likely ahead

I wouldn't break out the golf clubs just yet. Temperatures look colder again late next week into late February.

NOAA week 3 and 4 temperature outlook
Temperature outlook Feb. 21-March 6
NOAA

Keep in mind, we still typically get a subzero day or two in late February and even the first week of March.

And we average about 16 inches of snow in the Twin Cities between the last half of February and early April. We’ve had some whopper snows in April in the past decade in Minnesota.

A snowplow clears a path along a snow-covered street
A snowplow clears a path along a snow-covered street in West St. Paul, Minn., early on April 1, 2023, after more than a half-foot of snow fell overnight. Blizzard warnings were in effect for the Twin Cities and much of the rest of southern Minnesota overnight.
Andrew Krueger | MPR News

It’s way too early to write off wintry weather just yet. This is Minnesota, after all.

Stay tuned.