Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Record warmth now, rain-snow system likely next week

Twin Cities tied record high 51 degrees Friday; Valentine's Day could set a record

Temperatures
The air mass over the central U.S. Friday afternoon is more typical of early April.
Oklahoma Mesonet

February is already running about 7 degrees warmer than normal in the Twin Cities as we approach the middle of the month. It will trend even warmer the next three days.

Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport hit 51 degrees Friday afternoon, tying the longstanding high temperature record set in 1890!

On Saturday, Valentine’s Day, we’ll challenge the Twin Cities record high for Feb. 14 — 50 degrees, set in 1892.

Forecast high temperatures Saturday
Forecast high temperatures Saturday
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

With little snow cover and higher mid-February sun, we should bump 50 degrees Saturday around the Twin Cities with temperatures closer to 60 in southwestern Minnesota.

Our unseasonable warmth continues Sunday and Monday. It will feel more like early April.

Forecast high temperatures Sunday
Forecast high temperatures Sunday
NOAA

The normal high for the Twin Cities on April 1 is 50 degrees. No foolin’.

Rain and snow next week

Friday’s forecast models continued the trend of pushing a messy low-pressure system through Minnesota next Tuesday into Wednesday.

The still-way-too-early-to-be-precise forecast storm tracks currently favor rain changing to snow in the Twin Cities and southern Minnesota with heavier snow potential across central into northern Minnesota.

Here’s the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Global Forecast System model between 6 p.m. next Tuesday and 6 p.m. Wednesday:

NOAA GFS model
Global Forecast System model between 6 p.m. Tuesday and 6 p.m. Wednesday of next week.
NOAA, via Tropical Tidbits

If the storm track end up farther south, we will get more snow around the Twin Cities.

This will be a fun one to watch next week. There are hints of a possible second sloppy snow system next week along about Friday.

Temperatures look cooler but still warmer than normal later next week and potentially into early March.

NOAA week 3 and 4 temperature outlook
Temperature outlook Feb. 28 to March 13
NOAA

Might we see an early spring this year? It’s possible, but we could both be warmer than normal in spring, and still get pasted by a late March or April snow.

Happy Valentine’s Day, Minnesota!