Grading the polls
Go Deeper.
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While we like to say -- accurately -- that polls are merely a snapshot in time, let's face it: We view them as the predictors they aren't. So we can judge who nailed it, and who didn't. Keep the margin-of-error in mind.
As I type this, it's Dayton 44%, Emmer 43% and Horner 12%. Compare:
| Poll/Date | Dayton | Emmer | Horner | Grade |
| Pub.Policy -10/29 | 43 | 40 | 15 | A- |
| Survey USA (10/27) | 39 | 38 | 13 | B+ |
| MPR/Humphrey (10/25) | 41 | 29 | 11 | D |
| Star Tribune | 41 | 34 | 13 | D |
| St. Cloud State(10/21)Likely voters | 40 | 30 | 19 | D |
| St. Cloud State(10/21)All respondents | 37 | 27 | 18 | D |
| Rasmussen (10/20) | 44 | 41 | 10 | B+ |
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