From a frosty start to a fire risk by Thursday afternoon

Temperatures remain below average Thursday, but even without warmer weather, the state will be dry and windy enough for an elevated fire risk.

Thursday’s forecast

Once again, much of Minnesota is off to a frosty start, with northern Minnesota seeing mostly 20s, and the rest of the state predominantly in the 30s. This is 5 to 15 degrees below average for morning temperatures in early May.

Highs also stay slightly below average with 50s north and 60s south and west. 

A cold front moves north to south through the state during the day, pushing through southern Minnesota later, which is why that portion of the state is able to stay slightly warmer.

The front has limited moisture, but it could still bring a few isolated showers as it passes through.  For the Twin Cities, there could be an evening sprinkle.  

The bigger concern is the cold front brings gusty winds with it, which could top at least 30 mph Thursday afternoon and evening. Combined with recent dry conditions, and low relative humidity expected in the afternoon, much of the state is under a red flag warning starting at noon for an elevated fire risk.

Temperatures remain slightly below average, and precipitation stays limited in the week ahead. That extended forecast will be updated around 9 a.m.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on Minnesota Public Radio at 7:49 a.m. Monday through Friday morning.