Highs stay stuck in the 50s and 60s into next week

Limited rain chances are contributing to a fire risk for much of Minnesota

Minnesota’s recent trend of below-average temperatures and drier than average weather continues through at least late next week.

Thursday’s forecast

Once again, much of Minnesota started off frosty, with northern Minnesota seeing mostly 20s, and the rest of the state predominantly in the 30s. This was 5 to 15 degrees below average for morning temperatures in early May.

Highs also stay slightly below average with 50s north and 60s south and west. 

weather graphic
Thursday high temperatures
National Weather Service
weather graphic
Forecast cold front location Thursday evening
National Weather Service

A cold front moves north to south through the state during the day, pushing through southern Minnesota later, which is why that portion of the state is able to stay slightly warmer.

The front has limited moisture, but it could still cause a few isolated showers as it passes through. For the Twin Cities, there could be an evening sprinkle.  

The bigger concern is the cold front brings gusty winds with it, which could top at least 30 mph Thursday afternoon and evening. 

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Combined with recent dry conditions, and low relative humidity expected in the afternoon, much of the state is under a red flag warning starting at noon for an elevated fire risk. 

weather graphic
Red flag warning area Thursday afternoon and evening
National Weather Service

Cool and dry weather prevails

Behind Thursday’s cold front, highs across Minnesota dip a couple more degrees, putting most of the state back in the 50s on Friday under mostly sunny skies.

Those cooler than average 50s with occasional 60s south continue through at least the middle of next week, keeping Minnesota about 5 to 10 degrees below average. 

Here is that temperature trend for the Twin Cities:

weather graphic
Twin Cities forecast highs and lows through Monday
National Weather Service

However, most of that falls under sunnier skies, so it will still be comfortable for outdoor activities.

Drier weather continues to be the trend through much of next week, meaning May is off to a parched start, and Minnesota could use more precipitation. The next chance for some rain comes Saturday into early Sunday, with a storm that will slide south of the state. 

weather graphic
Forecast storm location overnight Saturday
Tropical Tidbits

Southern Minnesota will see a few showers, but northern Minnesota is likely to get missed entirely.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on Minnesota Public Radio at 7:49 a.m. Monday through Friday morning.