Until 8 p.m. includes Twin Cities area

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We’re nearly three weeks into meteorological fall, and astronomical fall begins Thursday at 8:03 p.m. with the autumnal equinox. Yet summery weather patterns linger in Minnesota this year.

Monday afternoon features a few scattered rain and thunderstorms from near Grand Forks, N.D., eastward to Red Lake Falls, Minn. 

past, current, and future interactive radar

 with lightning data and other overlays on the MPR weather page.

Our next batch of scattered strong to potentially severe storms appears likely to blow up after midnight Monday near and just east of the greater Twin Cities area. 

Several short-range forecast models pick up on a weak disturbance that is likely to spark storm development after midnight. 

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s NAM 3 km model is one that pops a cluster of cells near the Twin Cities after midnight, then expands coverage and intensity as the ripple drifts southeast into Wisconsin toward daybreak Tuesday. 

The forecast model loop below runs between 1 a.m. and 10 a.m. Tuesday:

NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center lays out a marginal risk for severe storms from near the Twin Cities into much of southern Wisconsin Tuesday. There is potential for a second wave of storms to develop Tuesday afternoon and evening in roughly the same area. 

So you may see a lightning show after midnight into early Tuesday morning from the Twin Cities eastward into Wisconsin. 

Weather and Climate News

Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Paul Huttner

Author

Scattered strong thunderstorms are likely overnight. 

Storms could fire near and east of the Twin Cities after midnight

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