Wintry weather up north; metro thunderstorm chance; chilly weekend ahead
Ice storm warning in northeastern Minnesota
It felt more like May than November Thursday morning in the Twin Cities, southeastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin.
Our average Twin Cities high is 45 degrees on Nov. 10. Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport reported 68 degrees at 11 a.m. Temperatures could still rise a bit more.
A cold front will sweep through Thursday afternoon, so temps will fall into the 50s and then through the 40s by late afternoon. The front could ignite scattered thunderstorms.
An isolated severe thunderstorm will be possible this afternoon and early evening in the southeastern part of the Twin Cities area and into southeastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin, where the National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center shows a marginal risk of severe weather:
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We have updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the Minnesota Public Radio News network, and on the MPR News live weather blog. You can check the MPR News interactive radar display here.
Winter storm update
A low-pressure system was located just to the west of the Twin Cities late Thursday morning. That low will move slowly northeastward Thursday afternoon and night. That track will bring strong winds and heavy snow to northwestern and north-central Minnesota, with a wintry mix, ice and then snow in the northeast.
Snow totals through Friday will reach double digits in parts of the northwest:
Freezing rain has already occurred in some areas and it may spread to other locations Thursday.
A portion of Interstate 29 in eastern North Dakota was closed Thursday due to icing:
Blizzard warnings cover parts of northwestern Minnesota, with winter storm warnings elsewhere.
Here are details of the blizzard warnings:
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 352 AM CST Thu Nov 10 2022 MNZ004-005-007-008-013-014-NDZ006>008-014>016-054-111600- /O.CON.KFGF.BZ.W.0012.221110T1000Z-221111T1600Z/ Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall-Pennington-Red Lake- Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh-Western Walsh- Including the cities of Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Newfolden, Middle River, Grygla, Thief River Falls, Red Lake Falls, Cando, Langdon, Cavalier, Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Fort Totten, Maddock, Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, Grafton, Park River, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin 352 AM CST Thu Nov 10 2022 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 14 inches and ice accumulations of up to a tenth of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest Minnesota and northeast North Dakota. * WHEN...Until 10 AM CST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates of over an inch an hour are possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state.
Winter storm warning details:
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 352 AM CST Thu Nov 10 2022 MNZ016-017-022-023-027-029-030-111200- /O.CON.KFGF.WS.W.0008.221110T1200Z-221111T1200Z/ North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen-South Clearwater- West Becker-Wilkin-West Otter Tail- Including the cities of Bagley, Clearbrook, Bemidji, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, Alida, Ebro, Lake Itasca, Long Lost Lake, Lower Rice Lake, Roy Lake, Upper Rice Lake, Detroit Lakes, Breckenridge, and Fergus Falls 352 AM CST Thu Nov 10 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of up to two tenths of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Portions of north central, northwest and west central Minnesota. * WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Friday. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel will be nearly impossible. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.
Northeastern Minnesota will see rain, then a wintry mix, ice and snow.
Here are warnings and advisories for northeastern Minnesota:
Details of the warnings and advisories in the northeast:
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Duluth MN 603 AM CST Thu Nov 10 2022 MNZ012-021-110015- /O.CON.KDLH.IS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-221111T1200Z/ Northern Cook and Lake-Southern Cook- Including the cities of Isabella and Grand Marais 603 AM CST Thu Nov 10 2022 ...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Significant icing. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of one tenth to three tenths of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Northern Cook and Lake and Southern Cook Counties. This includes the Tribal Lands of the Grand Portage Reservation. * WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Friday. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Heaviest icing expected this afternoon and evening, which could impact the peak evening travel period. The Gunflint Trail and Highway 61 from Lutsen to Grand Portage could be affected by sudden icing and black ice conditions. The heaviest ice accumulations are expected inland from Lake Superior. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel is strongly discouraged. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Prepare for possible power outages. The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Road conditions can also be found at 511mn.org for Minnesota or 511wi.gov for Wisconsin.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Duluth MN 603 AM CST Thu Nov 10 2022 MNZ011-018>020-025-026-110015- /O.CON.KDLH.WW.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-221111T1800Z/ North St. Louis-North Itasca-Central St. Louis-Southern Lake- North Cass-South Itasca- Including the cities of Ely, Bigfork, Hibbing, Two Harbors, Silver Bay, Walker, and Grand Rapids 603 AM CST Thu Nov 10 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of up to 4 inches and ice accumulations of up to two tenths of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...North St. Louis, North Itasca, Central St. Louis, Southern Lake, North Cass and South Itasca Counties. This includes the Tribal Lands of the Bois Forte Band, Lake Vermilion, Deer Creek and, Nett Lake areas. * WHEN...Until noon CST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.
Minnesota road conditions can be found here. North Dakota road conditions can be found here.
The Twin Cities metro area could see a passing flurry or light snow shower on Friday.
Chilly weekend
Our average Twin Cities high temperature is 44 degrees on Nov. 12. We’ll see metro area highs in the lower 30s on Saturday. Much of Minnesota will have Saturday highs in the 20s, with lower 30s to the southeast and also in western Wisconsin:
It’ll be a bit breezy on Saturday, with afternoon gusts of 14 to 18 mph in many areas:
Forecast wind gusts are in knots, with 14 knots equal to 16.1 mph.
Sunday highs will once again be in the 20s to lower 30s:
Our winds will be fairly light on Sunday.
We aren’t expecting any meaningful precipitation Saturday or Sunday. A stray flurry is possible Saturday, and parts of far western Minnesota could see a light snow shower late on Sunday.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale forecast model shows the potential precipitation pattern from 6 a.m. Saturday to 6 p.m. Sunday:
Updates
We have updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the Minnesota Public Radio News network, and on the MPR News live weather blog. You can check the MPR News interactive radar display here.
Programming note
You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:39 p.m. Saturday and Sunday