Waves of moisture into Friday; snow for northern Minnesota

Colder than normal through the weekend

hazards
Winter storm watch north for Thursday
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via Pivotal Weather

Updated 10 a.m.

The first of multiple rounds of precipitation is moving across the region. We’ll see somewhat of a midday break before more showers develop in southern Minnesota and fill in, moving north. A wintry mix will become mostly snow in northern Minnesota Thursday.

Showers, thunderstorms; wintry mix north

Our latest storm system comes in a few different rounds of moisture. The first round is continuing to move through northern Minnesota and into Wisconsin as a mix of rain, sleet and snow.

We’ll see redevelopment of showers and thunder across southern Minnesota late in the afternoon or evening Wednesday after a midday break overall. That area of redevelopment will fill in Wednesday night into Thursday.

wed precip 9
Forecast precipitation 10 a.m. Wednesday through 6 a.m. Thursday
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

There’s also the potential for ice in portions of northern Minnesota Wednesday night as rain falls and temperatures drop.

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MN ice
Forecast ice accumulation potential Wednesday into Thursday
National Weather Service

One or two thunderstorms that develop late Wednesday afternoon could have large hail. There’s a marginal risk of severe storms forecast for far southern Minnesota into Wednesday evening.

spc day 1 update
Severe weather outlook. Isolated storms with large hail are possible in southern Minnesota late Wednesday.
NOAA Storm Prediction Center

High temperatures Wednesday will range from near 60 in the southernmost portions of Minnesota to around 50 in the Twin Cities and just 30s in northern Minnesota.

wed hi 9
Forecast highs Wednesday
National Weather Service

Temperatures overnight Wednesday night will fall below freezing in northern Minnesota, making of icy conditions potentially, while we remain above freezing in southern Minnesota.

thu lo
Forecast lows Wednesday night into early Thursday
National Weather Service

Snow develops north Thursday; showers south

We’ll continue to see areas of rain in southern Minnesota overnight Wednesday night into Thursday morning with the wintry, icy mix in northern Minnesota turning over to all snow Thursday.

thu-fri precip 9
Forecast precipitation 7 a.m. Thursday through 7 a.m. Friday
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

Snow showers will continue to wrap around the slowly moving storm system into Friday. There will be accumulation across portions of northeastern Minnesota for the second time this week.

MN snow
Forecast snowfall through Friday
National Weather Service

We’ll gradually see some sun by late Saturday, with more on Sunday. Temperatures will remain well below normal Friday into the weekend, mainly in the 40s south and 30s north.

sat hi 9
Forecast highs Saturday
National Weather Service

We’ll finally see some warmer temperatures early next week but it will still be several degrees below normal.

tue high next week
Forecast highs next Tuesday
National Weather Service

Heavy precipitation comes as rivers are high

The widespread soaking comes at a critical time with our high rivers. 1 to 2 inches of liquid equivalent precipitation could fall through Friday over a large area of Minnesota and Wisconsin.

QPF 48
Forecast total liquid equivalent precipitation through Friday
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

The additional precipitation will likely keep cresting rivers at their high levels longer or even push river levels higher. The Mississippi River at St. Paul is expected to reach major flood stage by early Friday. It will go up at least 3 more feet by the weekend.

STP river
Forecast river levels for the Mississippi river at St. Paul
National Weather Service

The St. Croix River at Stillwater is also high and will remain near its crest into early next week:

stillwater flood
Forecast river levels for the St. Croix River at Stillwater
National Weather Service

The Red River continues to rise as snow melts in addition to the latest precipitation. It could go up another 8 feet at Fargo, N.D., into early next week:

fargo flood
Forecast river levels for the Red River at Fargo, N.D.
National Weather Service