Nice weather Saturday; flake chance in some areas Sunday and Monday

No really cold air in sight

There aren’t any really cold temps in our forecast the next few days.

The average Twin Cities high temperature is 34 degrees this time of year. Metro area highs will be in the upper 30s to around 40 Saturday afternoon.

Most of Minnesota and western Wisconsin will have Saturday highs in the 30s, with some lower 40s in parts of southwestern and south-central Minnesota.

Similar high temps are on tap for Sunday:

Sunday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Monday highs reach the 40s in portions of southern and west-central Minnesota:

Monday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Twin Cities metro area highs are projected to be around 40 degrees Monday and Tuesday, followed by lower 40s Wednesday, mid 40s Thursday and lower 40s on Friday.

Flake chances

A stray snow flurry is possible in northern Minnesota Saturday afternoon and evening.

Some locations in the upper Midwest will see snow at times Saturday evening into Sunday, due to an upper level disturbance which will combine with a low pressure system tracking to our southeast.

Parts of eastern Iowa, northwestern Illinois and portions of southern and central Wisconsin could see an inch or two of snow from Saturday evening into Sunday morning. Lighter snow accumulations, of generally less than one inch, are possible Saturday night into early Sunday morning in southeastern Minnesota. A few occasional flurries are possible late Saturday night into Sunday morning in the Twin Cities metro area. Portions of northeastern Minnesota and northwestern Wisconsin could see periods of light snow or flurries Saturday night into Sunday.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale forecast model shows the potential precipitation pattern from 5 p.m. Saturday to 5 p.m. Sunday:

Simulated radar from 5 p.m. Saturday to 5 p.m. Sunday
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

A clipper system will spread some snow across much of northern and central Minnesota and into Wisconsin Monday and Monday evening. NOAA’s North American Mesoscale forecast model shows the potential precipitation pattern from 6 a.m. Monday to 9 p.m. Monday:

Simulated radar from 6 a.m. Monday to 9 p.m. Monday
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

Some light snow showers are possible in the Twin Cities metro area late Monday afternoon into Monday evening.

You can hear updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the MPR News network.

Dry November!

Just 0.04 (four-hundredths of an inch) of precipitation was recorded during November at Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport.

November 2023 was the second-driest November in Twin Cities precipitation records, which go back to 1871:

Driest Novembers in Twin Cities
NOAA data, via the Minnesota State Climatology Office

Precipitation includes rainfall plus the water content of the November snowfall.

Just one-half inch of snow was reported at MSP airport in November 2023. That places November 2023 in a tie for fourteenth-least-snowy November in Twin Cities snowfall records, which date back to 1884:

Lowest November snow totals in Twin Cities weather records
NOAA data, via the Minnesota State Climatology Office

Notice that there were four years with just a trace of snow during November!

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:39 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday

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