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The latest poll of Minnesota likely voters — the first conducted since Walz was announced as the Democrat’s Vice Presidential candidate and released on Monday — shows the Democrats leading the Republicans in the race for the state’s 10 electoral college votes.

Vice President Harris leads former President Trump by 6.9 percentage points in 

the first poll conducted in Minnesota since she selected Gov. Walz as her running mate

. This lead is just within the poll’s margin of error, meaning that technically the race could be tied (but also that Harris’ lead could be even larger).

This latest poll comes after four other public polls of Minnesota voters conducted since Biden’s withdrawal all showing Harris leading Trump. Her lead is beyond the error margins associated with two of the polls: She leads by 6 percentage points in 

Fox News’ survey of 1,071 registered voters

 (margin of error ± 3.0 percentage points) and 10 percentage points in 

 (credibility interval ± 4.4 percentage points).

, only 4 percent indicated support for third-party candidates: 3 percent favored Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and less than 1 percent favored Green Party candidate Jill Stein and Libertarian Chase Oliver, respectively. Notably, that poll also found Harris’ job approval rating (46 percent) higher than the favorability ratings for either Trump (39 percent) or JD Vance (27 percent). In Minnesota, 51 percent of likely voters indicated a favorable rating for Walz.

Prior to Biden’s withdrawal, polling had generally shown the presidential race in Minnesota too close to call when factoring in the undecided voters and the error margins or credibility intervals that accompany the results. 

MPR News | Star Tribune | KARE11 Minnesota Poll

 of 800 likely voters and margin of error ±3.5 percentage points, found that 45 percent favored Biden, 41 percent favored Trump, 6 percent favored Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and 7 percent were undecided.

As of Aug. 14, leading election forecasters have rated the race for Minnesota’s 10 electoral votes as follows. 

the nation’s longest streak among all states for favoring a Democrat for president

. A Republican has not won the presidential race in Minnesota since 1972, when Republican President Richard Nixon defeated Democratic nominee George McGovern by 5.5 percentage points. In 2020, Democrat Joe Biden won the state by a margin of 7.1 percentage points over then-President Donald Trump. In 2016, Trump also lost the state, but only by 1.5 percentage points.

Both the Democrats and Republicans have faced setbacks in this year’s presidential campaign:

Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz would be her vice presidential running mate

 To help keep our finger on the pulse of this year’s elections, we are tracking poll results, fundraising data and forecasted election outcomes for Minnesota’s U.S. presidential race as well as the races for U.S. Senate and our eight seats in the U.S. House. We will update our 

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The latest poll of Minnesota likely voters — the first conducted since Walz was announced as the Democrat’s Vice Presidential candidate — shows Democrats leading Republicans.

Kerem Yücel | MPR News

Two people cheer and embrace in front of crowd

Harris maintains slight lead in presidential race in first Minnesota poll since Walz announced as VP

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