More sloppy days through the weekend

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Abundant snow cover and warmer-than-normal afternoon temperatures will continue to produce slush and puddles on a daily basis. Many neighborhood walkers were hopping their way down sidewalks seeking higher ground Tuesday.

Overnight temperatures have again refrozen the meltwater into slick ice and crunchy snow.

We will see some increasing clouds Wednesday but temperatures will warm well above normal for most of us.

Afternoon highs should range from the low 30s in much of western Minnesota to the low- and mid-40s in the east central and southeastern parts of the state. The Twin Cities should get a high of about 44 with a light north wind.

Feb 28 - MPX wx story
Wednesday's weather story. Twin Cities National Weather Service

A strong storm passing by well to our south will generate heavy rain, continued flooding and possibly severe weather from Texas to Tennessee.

Feb 28 - Wed fcst map
Forecast surface weather map for Wednesday. NOAA Weather Prediction Center

Weak trough tonight

A weak upper-level trough from the northwest will bring us clouds and possibly a few flurries tonight. A light accumulation of snow is possible farther east in Wisconsin.

Temperatures will be a bit cooler behind the trough. Most of Minnesota should have highs in the 30s on Thursday and Friday.

Weekend outlook

Saturday will be mostly sunny and quite mild. It looks like the Twin Cities area could see some upper 40s for high temperatures.

The weather will become much more interesting on Sunday as a storm system forms in eastern Colorado and then builds northeastward.

This will be a sloppy, slow-moving storm. Significant snowfall is possible across much of Minnesota. Total amounts will depend greatly on how much of the precipitation falls as rain before changing to snow.

Rain and snow are likely to move into mainly the northwestern half of Minnesota on Sunday. Rain should change over to all snow gradually on Monday as colder air spreads across the state.

Snowfall could linger into Tuesday mainly in northern and eastern Minnesota.

Let's use the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Global Forecast System model to break down its forecast of precipitation type from later Sunday until Tuesday. Precipitation is likely to break out as snow (blue) in northwestern Minnesota and rain (green) on the warmer southeastern side on Sunday.

Feb 28 - GFS 6P Sun
GFS model forecast of precipitation type at 6 p.m. Sunday. NOAA/College of DuPage

The changeover from rain to snow should proceed southeastward Sunday night and on Monday.

Feb 28 - GFS noon Mon
GFS model forecast precipitation type at noon on Monday. NOAA/College of DuPage

Snowfall could linger in northern and eastern Minnesota well into Tuesday.

Feb 28 - GFS 6A Tue
GFS model forecast of precipitation type at 6 a.m. Tuesday. NOAA/College of DuPage

Of course, this is just one model well ahead of time. The storm will not even begin to form for several days, so much could change.

GOES-S launch

GOES stands for Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite. It refers to a very important class of weather satellites that remain stationed over a particular place on Earth so we can get continuous loops of weather imagery.

GOES-R was launched in November 2016 and began sending incredibly sharp cloud images at a much more frequent rate than its predecessor. It became GOES-16 after reaching geostationary orbit.

After testing, GOES-16 was stationed above 75° W longitude over the Atlantic and became operational as GOES-East.

Correction to rocket type (thanks to reader John O.)

On Thursday, NASA will launch a partner for GOES-East aboard an Atlas V rocket. It will initially be known as GOES-S but will become GOES-17 in geostationary orbit and then GOES-West after testing and being positioned above 135° W longitude over the Pacific.

Feb 28 - GOES-S
GOES-S satellite to be launched Thursday. NASA

The launch window will be two hours beginning at 4:02 p.m. on Thursday. NASA plans to stream the launch on NASA Live beginning at 3:30 p.m.

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