May 18 update on COVID-19 in MN: Vaccination pace sputtering; spring wave retreating

A paper sign taped to a wall says "2 shots + 2 weeks = fully vaccinated."
Signs at Denfeld High School in Duluth, Minn., encourage students to get a COVID-19 vaccine during a clinic at the school on May 10.
Dan Kraker | MPR News

3 things to know

  • 61.7 percent of Minnesotans 16 and older with at least one vaccine dose; 53.3 percent — more than 2.3 million people — are now completely vaccinated

  • Average count of new cases stays below 1,000 a day

  • Vaccination pace struggling for traction


Updated: 11:43 a.m.

Minnesota’s newest COVID-19 numbers offer more evidence the disease is ebbing following a spring surge. But the push to get more Minnesota adults vaccinated continues to languish.

Tuesday’s Health Department data showed the average count of new cases remaining below 1,000, including two consecutive days with fewer than 600 new cases. Active case counts are also falling.

Vaccinations, though, have slowed to a relative crawl, raising concerns that hundreds of thousands of Minnesota adults might choose to go unvaccinated.

Even as they ended Minnesota’s statewide mask-wearing order last week, officials acknowledged the need to do more to connect unvaccinated Minnesotans to shots.

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Graph showing when Minnesota is on target to vaccinated 70% of adults

Despite concerns around the sputtering vaccination rate, the overall pandemic picture continues to brighten.

As of Tuesday, the count of known, active COVID-19 cases came in at 7,384 — less than half its most recent high of around 20,000 in mid-April, and the lowest level since March 10.

Active, confirmed COVID-19 cases in Minnesota

There were 440 people hospitalized with COVID-19 in Minnesota; 112 needed intensive care. Both figures continue to trend down from their recent peaks. New hospital admissions have dropped significantly and are trending at six-week lows.

Graph of new ICU and non-ICU COVID-19 hospitalizations

Fourteen newly reported deaths Tuesday brought Minnesota’s pandemic toll to 7,310. Among those who have died, about 60 percent had been living in long-term care or assisted-living facilities; most had underlying health problems.

New COVID-19 related deaths reported in Minnesota each day

The state has recorded 595,532 total confirmed or probable cases so far in the pandemic, including the 519 posted Tuesday — the second consecutive day of fewer than 600 new daily cases.

New COVID-19 cases per day in Minnesota

About 98 percent of Minnesotans known to be infected with COVID-19 in the pandemic have recovered to the point where they no longer need to isolate.

Regionally, all parts of Minnesota are in better shape than they were in late November and early December. Case counts had crept up across the state during April, but the trend is clearly on the slide.

New COVID-19 cases by Minnesota region

Officials continue to implore Minnesotans to keep their guard up during proms, graduations and other spring events, noting that more contagious COVID-19 variants are driving new cases across the state.

Concern about youth, young adult counts

While the overall trends are solid, officials are increasingly concerned about the spread of COVID-19 in younger people. They’ve been urging more testing of middle and high school students and weekly testing for athletes, coaches, referees and other youth sports participants.

People in their 20s still make up the age bracket with the state’s largest number of confirmed cases — more than 110,000 since the pandemic began.

New Minnesota COVID-19 cases by age, adjusted for population

The number of high school-age youth confirmed with the disease has also grown, with more than 48,000 15-to-19-year-olds known to be infected during the pandemic.

Although young people are less likely to feel the worst effects of the disease and end up hospitalized, experts worry they will spread it unknowingly to older relatives and members of other vulnerable populations. Those with the COVID-19 virus can spread it when they don’t have symptoms.

Vaccination pace remains stagnant

More than 2.7 million residents 16 and older now have at least one vaccine dose; more than 2.3 million have completed their vaccinations as of Tuesday’s update.

A line chart.

That works out to about 53.3 percent of the 16-and-older population completely vaccinated and 61.7 percent with at least one shot, including 88 percent of those 65 and older.

The vaccination pace, however, has plummeted in recent weeks. The seven-day trend is running at about 34,000 shots daily, down to levels not seen since late February. Minnesota was averaging close to 60,000 shots a day in mid-April.

Newly reported COVID-19 vaccine doses in Minnesota

State public health leaders have been pleading with those still not vaccinated to get their shots. Eligible Minnesotans can now walk in for a COVID-19 vaccination without an appointment at the state’s community vaccination program locations.

State health officials are not yet reporting vaccinations among newly eligible 12-to-15-year-olds, but they’ve reported about 18,000 new vaccinations the past few days of people with “unknown” age.

Graph projecting when most Minnesotans will get vaccinated
Projections by MPR News data reporter David Montgomery

Most of these are probably 12-to-15-year-olds who aren’t being properly reported by the Health Department’s computer systems, designed in a world where the minimum age for COVID-19 vaccines was 16.


Latest developments from around Minnesota

Target drops mask requirement for fully vaccinated shoppers

Minneapolis-based Target said employees and customers who are fully vaccinated will no longer be required to wear face masks in stores, unless mandated by local ordinances.

The company said it will "strongly" recommend that those who are not fully vaccinated use face coverings. Target said its policy change is consistent with CDC recommendations.

Face coverings will still be required for everyone in places where local ordinances require them.

— Mark Zdechlik | MPR News


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COVID-19 in Minnesota

Data in these graphs are based on the Minnesota Department of Health's cumulative totals released at 11 a.m. daily. You can find more detailed statistics on COVID-19 at the Health Department website.