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We have an update on thunderstorm chances this holiday weekend.  Here are the highlights:

You can hear updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the Minnesota Public Radio News 

, and you can see updated weather info on the MPR News 

Here are the severe weather categories that are used in the severe weather outlooks that are issued by the NWS Storm Prediction Center: 

The NWS Storm Prediction Center shows a slight risk (shaded yellow) of severe weather Sunday evening and overnight Sunday night in west-central Minnesota and much of South Dakota and North Dakota:

Slight risk means that scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. The dark-green shaded area that covers much of Minnesota plus west-central Wisconsin has a marginal risk of severe weather, meaning that an isolated severe thunderstorm is possible.

 updates the severe weather outlook as needed. They also issue severe weather watches, and they have already issued watches for much of South Dakota this Sunday evening.

The severe weather outlook for 7 a.m. Monday through 7 a.m. Tuesday shows a slight risk (shaded yellow) of severe weather in southeastern Minnesota, southern Wisconsin and eastern Iowa plus northern Illinois:

SPC shows a marginal risk of severe weather (dark green) for much of Minnesota and central/northern Wisconsin Monday and Monday night. Check forecast updates.

Fourth of July highs will reach the 80s in most of central and southern Minnesota plus western Wisconsin. A few spots in far southwestern Minnesota could top 90:

 The northern third of Minnesota will see mainly 70s, with some 60s near Lake Superior.

Dew points will be in the steamy 70s in roughly the southern half of Minnesota Monday afternoon and evening:

Back to forecast highs, Twin Cities metro area highs are projected to reach the mid 80s on Tuesday, followed by lower 80s Wednesday then mid 80s Thursday and Friday. Our average Twin Cities high temperature is 83 degrees this time of year.

We don’t see any really cool weather in the next week to ten days. The NWS Climate Prediction Center shows a strong signal for above-normal temps in the upper Midwest July 9 through July 13:

The Minnesota State Climatology Office has 

 interesting information about our Fourth of July weather.

Their post also shows that it can be stormy:

If you are interested, you can check the linked post for Fourth of July highs, lows and rainfall for each year dating back to the 1870s.

You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:39 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.

Weather and Climate News

Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Ron Trenda

Author

It’ll be a warm Fourth of July, with steamy dew points. We have the updated forecast details, including thunderstorm chances.

A steamy Fourth of July; thunderstorm chances highest in the morning

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