More showers, thunder develop late Tuesday; steamy, unsettled week

Temperatures will be 10 to 15 degrees above normal

tue pop
Forecast chance of rain Tuesday: thundestorms will redevelop late afternoon
National Weather Service

After lingering morning showers fizzle out we’ll see midday sunshine and more thunderstorms developing later in the afternoon and evening Tuesday. Temperatures will be near 90 this week and continued unsettled patterns.

Stormier setup this week

The center of the upper-level ridge of high pressure that gave us sunshine and dry weather the last several days has shifted east, setting us up on the more unsettled west side of the ridge.

500 hts
Forecast upper-level atmospheric pattern becomes more stormy through the week.
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via Pivotal Weather

This allows each wave disturbance to touch off some at least spotty showers and thunder. We saw our first cluster of activity early Tuesday. While most saw relatively light rainfall amounts, some areas around Fairmont and Windom in southwestern Minnesota saw up to 1 to 3 inches of rain.

radar est
Radar estimated rainfall through 8 a.m. Tuesday
College of DuPage weather lab

We’ll see some midday sun Tuesday with temperatures warming up well into the 80s.

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tue hi 8a
Forecast highs Tuesday
National Weather Service

That daytime heating will lead to the development of scattered showers and thunderstorms late Tuesday afternoon into evening.

tue-wed precip 8a
Forecast precipitation 8 a.m. Tuesday through 12 a.m. Wednesday
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via Pivotal Weather

There’s a marginal risk of some storms becoming severe with the main threat being some isolated large hail.

spc risk
A marginal risk (level 1 out of 5) for severe storms is possible later Tuesday
National Weather Service

Hotter, more humid through the weekend

We continue to be very warm to downright hot the rest of this week with highs in the upper 80s and even near 90 into the weekend.

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Forecast highs Wednesday
National Weather Service

In addition to the temperatures, which will be about 10 to 15 degrees above normal, we’ll have muggier dew points move in by late Tuesday and stick around through the week.

dews
Forecast dew points Tuesday into Thursday
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via Pivotal Weather

The combination of the shift in our upper-level atmospheric pattern along with higher dew points will all lead to an unsettled pattern with at least spotty or isolated thunder possible each day into the weekend.

pop Tue-Fri
Forecast chances of rain Tuesday through Friday
National Weather Service