November on track for 7th straight warmer-than-normal month

Past week's temps more than 10 degrees warmer than normal

Temperature departure from average this month
Temperature departure from mean over the past 7 days. Temperatures across most of Minnesota have run more than 10 degrees above normal in the past week.
Midwest Regional Climate Center

It’s been a November to remember for Minnesota.

November continues the trend of consecutive months of warmer-than-normal monthly temperatures across Minnesota. That trend started in May and continued through October.

Those six straight warmer-than-normal months collectively ran about 3 degrees warmer than normal across much of Minnesota.

Then along comes our blowtorch November. Temperatures so far through the first 16 days have run an incredible 5.7 degrees warmer than normal for the month. The peak warmth arrives this week with record highs set in International Falls and the Twin Cities this week.

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You can see the widespread and unusual warmth over the past seven days on the map at the top of this post.

Average front

Thursday’s record high temperature of 69 degrees was an incredible 27 degrees above the normal high of 42 for Nov. 16. Friday’s cold front has blown in temperatures around 25 degrees colder than Thursday, but that brings us only to around average across Minnesota.

Temperatures Friday afternoon
Temperatures Friday afternoon
Oklahoma Mesonet

And while we won’t be as warm this weekend as earlier this week, temperatures will still return to about 10 degrees warmer than average across Minnesota. Highs this weekend will reach the 50s south with mainly 40s north.

Forecast high temperatures Saturday
Forecast high temperatures Saturday
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

The normal high and low for the Twin Cities this weekend are 41 and 27 degrees.

Colder air arrives for Thanksgiving. Highs in the teens and 20s will be common across Minnesota by Thanksgiving Day through the holiday weekend. So far travel weather looks mainly dry Thanksgiving weekend.

Forecast high temperatures Thursday
Forecast high temperatures on Thanksgiving Day
NOAA

But even with the colder-than-normal temperatures expected for the last week of November, it’s very likely our unseasonably warm running start will produce the seventh straight warmer-than-normal month in most of Minnesota.

Stay tuned.