March 25 update on COVID-19 in MN: Cases trend up; state opening vaccines to all age 16 and older

A nurse administers a vaccine.
Sawtooth Mountain Clinic nurse Christine Kunze (left) administers a second shot of the Moderna vaccine to an area resident last month at the Cook County Community Center in Grand Marais, Minn.
Derek Montgomery for MPR News

3 things to know

  • State set to open vaccine eligibility for all adults starting Tuesday; supplies expected to jump in April

  • 26.5 percent with at least one vaccine dose currently; 16 percent completely vaccinated

  • Active cases trending at levels not seen since late January

Updated: 4:42 p.m.

The race is on to get more Minnesotans vaccinated faster against COVID-19 to dodge another surge in cases. Gov. Tim Walz on Friday will announce that any resident 16 and older will be eligible for a vaccine shot starting Tuesday.

The move comes as state public health leaders grow increasingly anxious about cases tied to the U.K. COVID-19 variant and to youth sports. They’ve confirmed 503 cases of the U.K. strain in recent weeks and believe as many as half the state’s new cases may be tied to that variant.

That’s upped the urgency to expand the eligibility pool.

Up to now, the shots have been targeted toward Minnesotans 65 and older, to those with certain underlying health conditions or who work in jobs that put them at highest risk of getting COVID-19.

Grow the Future of Public Media

MPR News is supported by Members. Gifts from individuals power everything you find here. Make a gift of any amount today to become a Member!

Health Department leaders, though, expect a major expansion of vaccine doses the first week in April — enough to give 300,000 Minnesotans their first shot and an additional 200,000 doses to provide people with a second shot.

That, together with the expanded eligibility, should should go a long way to easing the concerns of a new wave, although the state won’t immediately have all the doses it needs to vaccinate everyone immediately.

“We have not achieved that vaccine nirvana … but we know it’s coming,” Kris Ehresmann, the state’s infectious disease director, told reporters.

Vaccination pace stays flat

The vaccination pace could certainly use a bump.

The Health Department on Thursday reported about 34,000 more vaccinations, keeping the seven-day trend running at around 40,000 shots daily, roughly what it’s been the past few weeks.

Newly reported COVID-19 vaccine doses in Minnesota

More than 878,000 people — about 15.8 percent of the state’s population — have completed their vaccinations while more than 1.4 million — 26.5 percent — have received at least one dose, including about 79 percent of people age 65 and older.

A line chart.

For those who’ve received a complete vaccination, the results look good so far. Of the more than 850,000 people completely vaccinated, the state’s identified only 89 who’ve subsequently tested positive for COVID-19.

Health Commissioner Jan Malcolm on the latest COVID-19 numbers in MN

By the end of this week, all residents and staff in the state’s long-term care facilities would have had the opportunity to get the complete vaccination series, Health Commissioner Jan Malcolm said Thursday. “This is a very, very positive development,” she added.

Graph projecting when most Minnesotans will get vaccinated
Projections by MPR News data reporter David Montgomery.

Regional outbreaks concerning; active cases up

After a relatively stable stretch following a late fall surge, warning lights are flashing around Minnesota’s COVID-19 disease data.

The number of known, active is cases is rising again. Thursday showed 11,526 active cases — marking seven consecutive days with active counts above 10,000, a stretch not seen since late January.

Active, confirmed COVID-19 cases in Minnesota

While still low compared to late November and early December, the increase is notable given the worries over the rise of the U.K. COVID-19 strain, which state health officials suspect is driving the current upswing.

Hospitalizations are low compared to the late-fall surge, but those counts are creeping up as well. Health Department data showed 345, people with COVID-19 in Minnesota hospitals as of Wednesday; 83 needed intensive care.

Graph of new ICU and non-ICU COVID-19 hospitalizations

Sixteen deaths reported on Thursday — the highest daily count in two weeks — raised Minnesota’s collective toll to 6,814. Among those who’ve died, about 63 percent had been living in long-term care or assisted living facilities; most had underlying health problems.

New COVID-19 related deaths reported in Minnesota each day

The state has recorded 510,398 total confirmed or probable cases so far in the pandemic, including 1,857 posted Thursday. About 97 percent of Minnesotans known to be infected with COVID-19 in the pandemic have recovered to the point where they no longer need to be isolated.

New COVID-19 cases per day in Minnesota

Regionally, all parts of Minnesota are in better shape than they were in late November and early December. Some areas are seeing upticks in cases.

New COVID-19 cases by Minnesota region

Public health leaders continue to keep watch on clusters in the southwest Twin Cities metro — specifically Carver and Scott counties — as well as the Mankato area and the eastern Iron Range, centered around the town of Aurora.

There’s also an outbreak now in Ely, about an hour northeast of Aurora.

St. Louis County public officials say in the past week there have been 33 confirmed cases in Ely. That's about 15 percent of all COVID-19 cases in the entire county. Some of the cases are travel related. Others have been linked to social gatherings and youth sports activities.

Ely school officials report that about two-thirds of the cases in the city have been found in the schools, mostly in the high school. As a result, students are returning to distance learning for about two weeks in an effort to stop the spread.

The state is recommending young people across the state be tested every two weeks for COVID-19, with student athletes tested weekly; officials are also asking everyone in Carver County to get tested.

Cases spread across age groups

People in their 20s still make up the age bracket with the state’s largest number of confirmed cases — more than 95,000 since the pandemic began, including more than 50,000 among those ages 20 to 24.

New Minnesota COVID-19 cases by age, adjusted for population

The number of high school-age youth confirmed with the disease has also grown, with more than 40,000 total cases among those ages 15 to 19 since the pandemic began.

With kids increasingly returning to school buildings and sports, Minnesota public health officials are urging Minnesota families with children to get tested every two weeks for COVID-19 now until the end of the school year.

Although young people are less likely to feel the worst effects of the disease and end up hospitalized, experts worry youth will spread it unknowingly to older relatives and members of other vulnerable populations. Those with the coronavirus can spread it when they don’t have symptoms.

Caseloads among people of color

In Minnesota and across the country, COVID-19 has hit communities of color disproportionately hard in both cases and deaths. That’s been especially true for Minnesotans of Hispanic descent for much of the pandemic.

New COVID-19 cases per capita by race

Even as new case counts continue to track well below their late November, early December peaks, the data shows Latino people continue to be hit hard.

Distrust of the government, together with deeply rooted health and economic disparities, have hampered efforts to boost testing among communities of color, officials say, especially among unauthorized immigrants who fear their personal information may be used to deport them.

Gov. Tim Walz has acknowledged that distrust by communities of color has been a problem during the pandemic. Officials have offered up some data on vaccinations broken down by race and ethnicity. The state is updating the data weekly.

Malcolm, the health commissioner, has said the state is committed to doing more to expand vaccine access to people of color, including getting more doses to community pharmacies, partnering with local groups and deploying mobile vaccination clinics.

COVID-19 in Minnesota

Data in these graphs are based on the Minnesota Department of Health's cumulative totals released at 11 a.m. daily. You can find more detailed statistics on COVID-19 at the Health Department website.

Latest developments

COVID keeps Centennial High girls out of hockey tournament

A COVID-19 quarantine is forcing one team to miss the Minnesota High School Girls Hockey tournament.

The Centennial High School girls hockey team won't participate in this week's girl's hockey tournament because of a COVID-19 quarantine, according to the Minnesota State High School League.

The team reported it had a positive test.

Centennial, the section 5AA champion, was supposed to play Edina on Saturday. The league said it looked at options for a replacement team but could not make a plan work. Edina will advance to the next round of the tournament as a result.

— Peter Cox | MPR News

Twin Cities marathon is a go for October

Organizers say they're going ahead with the Twin Cities marathon events this fall, including the signature races between downtown Minneapolis and the Capitol. The races were canceled last year because of the pandemic.

The events will be smaller this year, with the marathon accepting only 4,000 entries. “Basically we're at half capacity,” said Virginia Brophy Achman, the marathon's executive director. “It's a number we can manage with the space allowed to comply with social distancing.

Marathon organizers will be urging spectators to stay away from the race course and will be restricting access in areas like the finish line, as a precaution against potential spread of COVID-19.

Registration opens on April 8.

— MPR News Staff